Harris

Will Kamala Harris lead Donald Trump in the upcoming NYT / Siena poll of the entire United States?50%

Will Kamala Harris flip a state?51% chance

Will Kamala lead Trump in both 538 and Nate Silver's forecasts on any day before Sunday, September 22nd?76% chance

Will Kamala lead Trump in both 538 and Nate Silver's forecasts on any day before Sunday, September 29th?80% chance

Did ABC rig the debate for Harris?4% chance

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Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US presidential election?55% chance

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Who will endorse Kamala Harris for President in 2024? (Or say that they are voting for her)

86%

Beyoncé

30%

Caitlin Clark

37%

Chappell Roan

15%

Chief Keef

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Kamala Harris's 2024 popular vote share

57%

>50%, wins popular vote

24%

<50%, wins popular vote

18%

<50%, loses popular vote

0.1%

Exactly 50%

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Will Kamala brand herself as Tough On Crime going into the election?85% chance

Will Kamala Harris appear on “Hot Ones” before 10/31/24?10% chance

How much of the popular vote will Kamala Harris win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?

99%

More than 37.45% of the vote (what George H. W. Bush got in the 1992 election)

96%

More than 38.47% of the vote (what Barry Goldwater got in the 1964 election)

96%

More than 40.56% of the vote (what Walter Mondale got in the 1984 election)

96%

More than 40.71% of the vote (what Bob Dole got in the 1996 election)

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Which Veep plot points will come true for Kamala’s candidacy/presidency?

44%

She changes her hair style

28%

Her social media gets (reportedly) hacked

28%

She grieves her father

25%

There is a recount in Nevada

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