Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight in/by January 2025?
Basic
8
𝕊122
Jan 22
88%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists' Doomsday Clock at https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/ is set closer to midnight by the end of January 2025 than the end of January 2024.

Will the doomsday clock advance towards midnight?

Criteria clarification:
-If the clock is at the exact same time as 2024 (90 seconds) this resolves NO.
-If thebulletin doesn't release a statement on the clock's new time by the end of February (PST) then this market will resolve to 50%.

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Arb

It would be 80 seconds to midnight by 2025

@NickAllenc961 Wanna bet?

@Shump yep

@NickAllenc961 There you go

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