Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debate?
Basic
28
Ṁ2.6kOct 31
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From https://metaculus.com/questions/17103/ai-in-2024-presidential-debates/
AI and its ability to have broad impacts on society, became much more common topics in news and social media in early 2023 with the release of OpenAI's ChatGPT. US Presidential debates, however, generally focus on a set of more narrowly framed societal issues. For example, the 2020 debates between Biden and Trump had segments on each of "fighting COVID-19, American families, race in America, climate change, national security, and leadership".
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (please read criteria)
19% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
49% chance
Will AI risk come up in the next presidential debate?
28% chance
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
24% chance
Will AI be mentioned at all in the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
70% chance
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
23% chance
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
24% chance
What is the max number of separate questions about AI that will be asked during any single 2024 US presidential debate?
Will "Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates?" resolve controversially?
40% chance
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States? (according to Manifold popular vote)
24% chance