Very few observers expect Kamala Harris to lose the state of New Jersey in the 2024 Presidential Election. She could however win New Jersey by a smaller margin than previous Democratic candidates.

Margins in past elections, rounded to the nearest whole number:

2020: 16%

2016: 14%

2012: 18%

2008: 16%

2004: 6%

2000: 16%

This questions resolves YES if Kamala Harris's fraction of total votes is at least 0.16 larger than Donald Trump's fraction of total votes.

For example, if Harris receives 54%, Trump receives 38%, and third parties/write-ins receive 8%, this question resolves YES.

Ballots that do not include any vote for President are not counted.

This question will resolve on election night if the initial count answers the question with mathematical certainty. If the initial count finds a margin between 15-17%, this question will be extended until the results are certified by the State of New Jersey.