Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college? | Manifold

Will the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. presidential election also win a majority in the electoral college?

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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Made a time sensitive version of the question, for the Yglesias prediction category (reasoning inside why it's not just a duplicate):

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