Will Haven-1 launch in 2025 or earlier?
Basic
4
Ṁ102
2026
21%
chance

Haven-1 is a space station by VAST, to be launched in a single launch on a Falcon 9. Transit to and from will be done by Dragon. The launch of Haven-1 is currently NET August 2025.

For this market to resolve Yes, Haven-1 needs to be launched.
It does not need to be launched successfully.
It does not need to be visited by humans.
Release of the launch clamps counts as a launch.
If VAST's first station is launched on a Starship instead of a Falcon, that would still count. If they change the name of their first station, the new name counts for this market. The intention of this market is to see if VAST can launch their first station within the given time frame.

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For posterity:
Press release:


VAST Announces the Haven-1 and VAST-1 Missions.

MAY 10, 2023

LONG BEACH, CALIFORNIA

SCHEDULED TO BE THE WORLD’S FIRST COMMERCIAL SPACE STATION, HAVEN-1 AND SUBSEQUENT HUMAN SPACEFLIGHT MISSIONS WILL ACCELERATE ACCESS TO SPACE EXPLORATION.

LONG BEACH, Calif. — May 10, 2023 — Vast, a pioneer in space habitation technologies, announced today their plans to launch the world’s first commercial space station, called Haven-1. Scheduled to launch on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket to low-Earth orbit no earlier than August 2025, Haven-1 will initially act as an independent crewed space station prior to being connected as a module to a larger Vast space station currently in development. The mission will be quickly followed by Vast-1, the first human spaceflight mission to Haven-1 on a SpaceX Dragon spacecraft. The vehicle and its four-person crew will dock with Haven-1 for up to 30 days while orbiting Earth. Vast also secured an option with SpaceX for an additional human spaceflight mission to Haven-1.

This represents the first time in history that a commercial space station company has both a contracted launch for its space station and a visiting human spaceflight mission.

“Vast is thrilled to embark on this journey of launching the world's first commercial space station, Haven-1, and its first crew, Vast-1,” said Jed McCaleb, CEO of Vast. “We are grateful to SpaceX for this exciting partnership that represents the first steps in Vast’s long-term vision of launching much larger, artificial gravity space stations in Earth orbit and beyond.”

“A commercial rocket launching a commercial spacecraft with commercial astronauts to a commercial space station is the future of low-Earth orbit, and with Vast we’re taking another step toward making that future a reality,” said Tom Ochinero, Senior Vice President of Commercial Business at SpaceX. “The SpaceX team couldn’t be more excited to launch Vast’s Haven-1 and support their follow-on human spaceflight missions to the orbiting commercial space station.”

Vast’s long-term goal is to develop a 100-meter-long multi-module spinning artificial gravity space station launched by SpaceX’s Starship transportation system. In support of this, Vast will explore conducting the world’s first spinning artificial gravity experiment on a commercial space station with Haven-1.

Vast is selling up to four crewed seats on the inaugural mission to Haven-1. Expected customers include domestic and international space agencies and private individuals involved in science and philanthropic projects. Visit vastspace.com/reserve for more details.

SpaceX will also provide crew training on Falcon 9 and the Dragon spacecraft, emergency preparedness, spacesuit and spacecraft ingress and egress exercises, as well as partial and full mission simulations including docking and undocking with Haven-1 for return to Earth.

HAVEN-1 FEATURES:

Compatible docking with the SpaceX Dragon spacecraft

Extend the on-orbit duration of commercial Dragon spacecraft human spaceflight missions for up to 30 days for four astronauts

Science, research, and in-space manufacturing opportunities - 1000 W of power, 24/7 communications, and up to 150 kg of pre-loaded cargo mass in Haven-1. Opportunities for lunar artificial gravity by spinning.

Fully independent space station providing life support functions and consumables for the full mission’s duration.

Privacy and control of your crew schedule

Large window dome for viewing and photography

Always-on internet via onboard Wi-Fi

Room to stretch and rest

VAST-1 - OUR FIRST EXPEDITION TO HAVEN-1

‍‍Fly to Haven-1 in a SpaceX Dragon spacecraft launched by the Falcon 9 rocket

For space agencies and private individuals

Fly four crew members to Haven-1 for up to 30 days

Be the first crew to visit the world’s first commercial space station

Available per seat or as a full, four-person crew mission

Advanced science, research, and in-space manufacturing opportunities

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