Will there be a publicly detrans elected official in the US before 2029? | Manifold

Will there be a publicly detrans elected official in the US before 2029?

Plus

11

Ṁ249

2029

65%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves as YES if there is an elected official in the US who is publicly detransitioning or publicly has detransitioned before 2029. This includes both those in and out of office. If you already know of an elected official who is openly detrans and provide evidence of their existence from local or national news, then this market resolves as YES. Personal communications (say on social networks) confirming the person as detrans do not qualify. If there is not a detrans elected official before 2029, then this market resolves as NO.

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In the US?

@Joshua Yes, let me update

@Nadja_L any elected official? You're including city councilmen and school board members (if elected)?

@jack Yes, any elected official!

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