Will Rishi Sunak win a Conservative Party Confidence Vote?
Mini
6
Ṁ902025
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Conditional on the below market, if Sunak faces a Conservative Party Vote of Confidence (NOT a parliamentary vote), will he win and remain leader (YES) or will he be replaced (NO).
Resolves N/A if there is no party VoNC before the next general election, or if a vote is called but does not take place due to e.g. a general election.
https://manifold.markets/Noit/will-rishi-sunak-face-a-conservativ?r=Tm9pdA
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
UK General Election 2024 - Will Rishi Sunak stay on as an MP after the election?
[Metaculus] Will Rishi Sunak fail to be elected in the 2024 UK General Election? [Mod note: as a MP]
8% chance
Who will lead the UK Conservative Party after Rishi Sunak?
Will Rishi Sunak be replaced as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 1st January 2025?
99% chance
Who will be the next UK Prime Minister after Rishi Sunak?
Will Rishi Sunak face a Conservative Vote of No Confidence before the next general election?
1% chance
Will Rishi Sunak hold the UK Prime Minister's office for at least two years?
6% chance
If Rishi Sunak is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK general election, will the Conservative Party win?
4% chance
Who will be the Prime Minister of the U.K. after Rishi Sunak’s successor?