UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? (Cumulative Market)
Basic
112
แน106kJul 6
1D
1W
1M
ALL
32%
More than 412 seats (What Tony Blair's Labour Party achieved at the 2001 election)
0.6%
More than 418 seats (What Tony Blair's Labour Party achieved at the 1997 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 202 seats (What Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party achieved at the 2019 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 232 seats (What Ed Miliband's Labour Party achieved at the 2015 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 258 seats (What Gordon Brown's Labour Party achieved at the 2010 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 262 seats (What Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party achieved at the 2017 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 271 seats (What Neil Kinnock's Labour Party achieved at the 1992 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 306 seats (What David Cameron's Conservative Party achieved at the 2010 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 317 seats (What Theresa May's Conservative Party achieved at the 2017 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 339 seats (What Margaret Thatcher's Conservative Party achieved at the 1979 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 355 seats (What Tony Blair's Labour Party achieved at the 2005 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 365 seats (What Boris Johnson's Conservative Party achieved at the 2019 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 376 seats (What Margaret Thatcher's Conservative Party achieved at the 1987 election)
Resolved
YESMore than 385 seats
Resolved
YESMore than 397 seats (What Margaret Thatcher's Conservative Party achieved at the 1983 election)
Resolved
NOMore than 425 seats
Resolved
NOMore than 430 seats
Resolved
NOMore than 435 seats
Resolved
NOMore than 441 seats (What the Earl Grey's Whigs achieved at the 1832 election)
Resolved
NOMore than 470 seats (What Stanley Baldwin's Conservative Party achieved at the 1931 election)
This is a cumulative-independent market, which is probably the best way to represent these kinds of markets. This also uses previous general election results as benchmarks, which is also I think one of the better ways to represent these kinds of markets.
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Recounts for both seats:
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cd16410q7neo
https://www.echo-news.co.uk/news/24432622.chaos-full-recount-called-south-basildon-east-thurrock/
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