Will Anthropic be acquired or have 2 digit percentage of its shares purchased by Amazon by the end of 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ1299
Jan 1
98%
chance

Like what is says. Will Anthropic be acquired or have 2 digit % of its shares purchased by entities that Amazon controls/owns? By EOY 2024-12-31 11:59pm EST.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ400 YES

@NonEconomistThe should resolve Yes based on your previous comment, as reporting indicates that Amazon has invested 4 billion into Anthropic ( https://apnews.com/article/amazon-anthropic-investment-ai-big-tech-f5108beaa33455f331010489e03586d4 ) and that Anthropic at the time had an 18 billion dollar valuation ( https://techcrunch.com/2024/05/13/anthropic-is-expanding-to-europe-and-raising-more-money/ )., giving Amazon a 22% stake under your definition. More recent reporting says that are trying to raise at a 40 billion valuation and it's not clear the 18 is what the Amazon one was at but it's presumably between the two which is enough to reach two digits.

How will you determine Amazon's percentage ownership for the resolution?

@Jx $ put in/Valuation. could just rely on whatever CNBC or Bloomberg says or take an weighted avg of what different sources say.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules