Musk and Trump no longer besties by Q2 2026?
Basic
26
Ṁ824Dec 31
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved if Musk and Trump fall out by mid 2026, according to my subjective judgment. Please poke me on Twitter @NunoSempere if I forget to resolve this question soon after resolution. Resolutions might be partial if Manifold allows this.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
53% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
Musk and Tump will fall out by end of 2025
37% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
69% chance
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out within 45 days of the inauguration?
11% chance
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
39% chance
3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.
45% chance
Will Musk and Trump fall out before the following dates (either unambiguously insults the other 3 times)
Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a falling out and start publicly criticizing one another by 2028
85% chance
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
9% chance