Will Musk and Trump fall out before the following dates (either unambiguously insults the other 3 times)
Plus
32
Ṁ50482028
5%
Inauguration day
19%
2025 Jul 1st
38%
2026 Jan 1st
44%
2027 Jan 1st
61%
2028 Jan 1st
72%
2028 Election day
33%
Not before any of these.
Will the either of them unambiguously insult the other. The insult must be attempting to insult (as opposed to sarcasm etc). Both insulting the other twice doesn't count.
Resolves to the date of the third insult.
Insults according to credible sources.
Cannot be "he can be an idiot but [positive statement]"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
54% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
Musk and Trump no longer besties by Q2 2026?
47% chance
Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a falling out and start publicly criticizing one another by 2028
65% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
57% chance
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out within 45 days of the inauguration?
10% chance
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
26% chance
When will Trump turn on Elon?
Will Donald Trump publicly disparage Elon Musk on social media anytime during his presidency?
75% chance
What month will Trump kick Elon Musk out of his inner circle?