China and Taiwan 2030 [Mega Market]
Plus
4
Ṁ8822030
69%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 11
59%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 10
50%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 9
50%
Taiwan's ally count falls to 8
50%
China shoots down a Taiwanese plane
50%
China destroys a Taiwanese boat with gunfire or explosives (not a water cannon)
37%
China controls Wuqiu
37%
China launches a missile that hits Taiwan (the island)
31%
China controls Kinmen
31%
China controls Matsu
31%
China controls Penghu
31%
China lands troops on Taiwan (the island)
31%
100+ people are killed in the conflict
31%
1k+ people are killed in the conflict
31%
10k+ people are killed in the conflict
22%
100k+ people are killed in the conflict
6%
China detonates a nuclear weapon
What will happen by Dec 31, 2030 at 23:59 in Taiwan?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
42% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
34% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
48% chance
Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
35% chance
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2030
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
38% chance
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2035
China occupying Taiwan - Multiple Choice Markets - By end of 2027
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?
33% chance