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Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Basic
28
αΉ3.1k2030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99.5%
United States
98%
Poland
97%
United Kingdom
95%
Finland
93%
Netherlands
93%
Latvia
90%
Germany
90%
Estonia
90%
Greece
89%
France
89%
Montenegro
88%
Denmark
88%
Bulgaria
88%
Lithuania
87%
Romania
84%
Albania
74%
Sweden
62%
Turkey
34%
Czechia
33%
Spain
The market will resolve as YES for all countries that record in any year between 2024-2030 a budget for military expenditure exceeding 2% of their GDP, as per NATO data (https://www.nato.int/).
This includes any future NATO member, whose number is published by NATO in the time period in question.
For example, the published numbers for 2023 are here:
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FyN0Fa2RZO5.jpg?alt=media&token=8a1f3330-823a-4c6c-9baf-bd199a269f8a)
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The Economist has published an article on this topic this week
Can Europe defend itself without America? (economist.com)
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FpJv-M4kIfq.png?alt=media&token=cd86fabc-a0b3-4c8d-beb2-4b070b777499)
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