Update: a new market is added where only one option will be available, where in totals will add up to 100%. https://manifold.markets/Fatih/a-company-from-which-continent-will-bbde51ade98a?r=RmF0aWg
In case company will be multinational, place of their HQ will be considered. If it will be research program or joint venture by multiple companies the majority state will be considered.
Feel free to add other continents if you feel so.
Criteria to be used for AGI will be the same as the one in the long bet: https://longbets.org/1/
1,000
3.00@1a3orn Added detail about criteria, basically the turing test described in the long bet: https://longbets.org/1/
I would suggest remaking this market as linked multichoice, that way each of the probabilities will add up to 100% and only one can be selected as correct. (buying YES on North America will be the same as buying NO on the others)
Very cool market! If you remake it, tag me and I will trade on the new version 😃
@Fatih I sent you some funds for the cool market!
edit: you also should get the mana back if you n/a this one
@Gen Wow thanks, im newbie here though can you explain how does that work? I create separate questions for each continent and then link them?