[Amplified 100x, read description] Will JD Vance win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Mini
5
แน463Dec 18
33%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if this election market resolves to JD Vance YES.
If said election market does not resolve to JD Vance YES, then I will generate a random integer between 1 and 100 inclusive using @FairlyRandom. If it turns out to be 11, this market resolves NO. Otherwise, this market resolves NA.
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@JoshuaPhillipsLivingReaso yes; the price of this market should be equal to x/(x+(1-x)/100), where x is the actual probability of JD Vance winning
for example, if you think Vance has an 0.2% chance of winning, this market should be at ~17%
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