Is there gonna be more than eight hurricanes in US in 2024?
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10
Ṁ1033
Dec 31
10%
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It has to be a named hurricane (e.g. Hurricane Katrina). Whether it's a "major" or a "minor" hurricane doesn't matter as long as it's classified as a hurricane, has a name and strikes in the US.

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4th hurricane to hit US, Helene. Past half way through season.

4 out of 5 hitting US as a hurricane was insanely high rate. There is now a 6th hurricane which will not hit US. Despite that insanely high rate still not on track for 8.

Does this include all US territories (e.g., Puerto Rico)?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 Also, if a hurricane is downgraded to a tropical storm before reaching the US, does that count? (I'm guessing no.)

Or if the outer edge of a hurricane touches a US territory, but that territory never experiences hurricane-force winds, does that also count? (I'm guessing yes.)

Per NOAA: an 85% chance of an above-normal hurricane season is predicted and among tropical storms, “8 to 13 are forecast to become hurricanes”

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season

@SusanneinFrance That's just for the Atlantic. It's rare, but there could also be hurricanes in the US on the Pacific side.

Based on the data I can find, there were only 19 hurricanes in the U.S. throughout the entire 2010's, and only 3 so far in the 2020's, so I don't see how there could be eight in one year.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastdec.shtml

What if there is a named hurricane that that slows down a little and hits the US as a tropical storm?

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