Which US states will experience (operational) hurricane conditions in 2024?
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Plus
32
Ṁ14k
Jan 1
8%
Mississippi
7%
South Carolina
6%
North Carolina
6%
Alabama
5%
Hawaii
5%
Virginia
5%
Delaware
4%
California
3%
Maryland
3%
New Jersey
3%
New York
Resolved
YES
Florida
Resolved
YES
Texas
Resolved
YES
Louisiana
Resolved
YES
Georgia

To resolve YES, a state must have an official NHC track point for a hurricane within the state's land borders with an intensity of Category 1 or higher. The storm must be tropical at the time of this intensity (post-tropical storms do not count). No subtropical storm that I'm aware of has ever been marked as a hurricane without a tropical transition, but if the NHC does this for the first time, it would count as a hurricane for the purposes of this market.

This market will use the operational strength of storms. Storms are sometimes revised up or down in intensity after the season; these changes will not affect the resolutions of this market.

A hurricane does not need to make landfall in a specific state for a state to resolve YES. For example, 2023's Hurricane Idalia made landfall in Florida and moved into Georgia as a hurricane; both Florida and Georgia would resolve YES if this storm had occurred in 2024.

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Georgia

@SaviorofPlant

SUMMARY OF 100 AM EDT...0500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.8N 83.5W ABOUT 10 MI...20 KM WSW OF VALDOSTA GEORGIA ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM ENE OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H

Louisiana

@SaviorofPlant can resolve YES

Nobody put Hawaii until now?

Why not include Alabama, Mississippi, and some other north-eastern states?

bought Ṁ50 New York NO

Done

Maine, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Hampshire?

They also have histories of hurricanes. Up to you

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