If the Democratic nominee is elected in 2024, will the U.S. average lifespan be 79.0+ in 2028?
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51%
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Resolution waits until the CDC releases their figure for the 2028 average lifespan in the United States.
If the 2024 elected president ran as the Democratic nominee, then this market will resolve YES if the average U.S. lifespan is greater than or equal to 79 in 2028. If less than 79, then this resolves as NO.
If the elected president wasn't running as the Democratic nominee, then this market will resolve N/A and all trades are reimbursed. For the sibling question about the Republican nominee, click here.
The close date is 2030-Dec just in case the CDC is slow to release the 2028 figure.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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