
Total number of deportations under Donald Trump by June 30, 2025
14
1kṀ4386Jul 31
0.9%
0-1,000
0.8%
1,001-5,000
4%
5,001-10,000
4%
10,001-25,000
4%
25,001-50,000
4%
50,001-100,000
9%
100,001-150,000
75%
Over 150,000
This market predicts the number of deportations in the first half of 2025 under a potential Trump administration.
Resolution will be based on official Department of Homeland Security (DHS) deportation statistics for January 1 - June 30, 2025.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
2024 Average Deportation (monthly) 61,612 (Source: ohs.dhs.gov) - highest on record since 2010. So 1st half of Biden’s 2024 would already be 370k.
Trump promised of “millions”, ve also explicitly stated “3 million criminals” - lets low ball to say 2mm which would need to more than double 2024 rate to 166k/month (or 1 million+ for “1st half of 2025)
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US knowingly deport at least one citizen to El Salvador for imprisonment by EOY2025?
40% chance
Will Donald Trump sign more than 300 Executive Orders in 2025?
39% chance
Will the U.S. Government report at least 100,000 arrests of removable non-citizens by April 30th, 2025?
36% chance
Will over 1 million non-citizens be deported by the US in 2025?
27% chance
How many deportations will the US carry out in FY2025?
Will Trump use the US military to assist in carrying out mass deportations in 2025
79% chance
Will more than one million people be deported from the United States in 2025?
15% chance
Number of immigration-related executive orders issued by Trump in first 180 days of 2025 presidency
Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?
25% chance
How many people will be deported from the US under Alien Enemies Act authority in 2025?