Will Azerbaijan control the Zangezur Corridor by EOY 2024?
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ2183
Jan 1
10%
chance

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zangezur_corridor

If Azerbaijan controls it at any time by 12/31/2024, this will resolve yes, even if Armenia later takes it back.

As I would like to bet in this market, in the event of controversy, I will consult several trustworthy-ish users to determine the resolution.

#Geopolitics
#Global Macro
#Armenia
#Azerbaijan
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
5 Comments
13 Holders
32 Trades
Sort by:

Would Turkish control count?

predicts NO

@mariopasquato No

@SemioticRivalry Great, and by “control” you mean troops from Azerbaijan must be stationed along the route?

predicts NO

@mariopasquato That would most likely be the result, though it is plausible that they gain control via negotiation and it remains demilitarized, which would also count as yes. As long as Azerbaijan administers the area I will count it.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules