Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Pro-GOP electoral college bias diminishes from its 2020 level
12
แน770Jan 1
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 80% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Net electoral college bias continues to favor the GOP
85% chance
How big will the Republican Electoral College advantage be in 2024?
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Josh Stein elected governor of North Carolina
90% chance
2024 predictions - Matthew Yglesias vs Manifold: No split between the popular vote and the electoral college
70% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold: Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
42% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold Time Capsule: Pro-GOP electoral college bias diminish from its 2020 level
92% chance
Matt Yglesias 2024 predictions: Will Democrats lose at least one senate seat outside of WV/MT/OH?
58% chance
2024 predictions - Matthew Yglesias vs Manifold: Republicans maintain their majority in the House
44% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)
78% chance
Will net electoral college bias continue to favor the GOP in 2024?
83% chance