Will H5N1 have spread to multiple pig farms in 2024?
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Ṁ8023Dec 31
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6%
Before September 1st, 2024
50%
Before December 31st, 2024
Resolved
NOBefore April 1st, 2024
Resolved
NOBefore June 1st, 2024
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First pig detected positive. Doesn't count as "spreading" just yet
@traders I realize I did not specify WHEN I would resolve this, so I am settling on 4 months after the date (unless multiple people protest this)
Pigs [n=9] are highly susceptible to but do not transmit [n=6] mink-derived highly pathogenic avian influenza virus H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/22221751.2024.2353292#d1e506
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