Will the UK's monthly GDP figure published on 13th December show positive growth?
Basic
11
Ṁ5854
resolved Dec 13
Resolved
NO

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest monthly GDP reading at 7:00 UK time on Wednesday 13th December..

This is the month-on-month figure - released around six weeks after the end of the month that is being measured (October in this case).

Will this reading show positive growth?

Resolution notes:

  • A reading of 0.0% resolves to NO

  • This market resolves based on the reading published on the day, future revisions are not relevant

Here are some markets on other UK economic stats:

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GDP shrank by 0.3% for the month, so this market resolves NO:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/dec/13/uk-economy-shrinks-unexpectedly-as-households-feel-squeeze

Next month's market is here: