Will Dwayne Johnson run in the next US presidential election?
Basic
30
Ṁ1.5kNov 30
5%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
If he makes a bid for the presidency either for a party or as an independent.
This is about making any sort of bid - even if he ultimately fails to get on the ballot.
Will resolve YES only when there is an official statement from Johnson saying he will run.
https://www.dwayneforpresident.com/
Close date updated to 2024-11-30 11:59 pm
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So we're saying he has a ~20% chance of winning if he runs? https://manifold.markets/Mosiah/will-dwayne-johnson-win-the-2024-us
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