How many Conservative MPs will have defected to Reform UK by one week after the new Conservative leader is chosen?
26
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Dec 31
70%
0
30%
1+
14%
2+
4%
3+
4%
4+
4%
5+
3%
6+
2%
7+
5%
8+
4%
9+
3%
10+

As reported by BBC. Responses not exclusive, e.g. if 2 defect then 1+ and 2+ will resolve yes. Includes all MPs that defect from the time the market was created, not only those that do so in the week after the new Conservative leader is chosen.

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