Dwarkesh Patel's podcast on June 11, 2024 had guests Francois Chollet and Mike Knoop launching the $1M ARC-AGI Prize.
https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/francois-chollet
This market resolves independently as "YES" or "NO" for each of the three thresholds based on whether they are achieved during the 2024 competition.
ARC Prize measures AGI progress using the ARC-AGI private evaluation set, the leaderboard is here. Validity of scores will be based on the contest rules and judgement of the Arc Prize sponsors.
The result on the leaderboard is 42%/43%
Sorry are you talking about https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Rdwui3wHxCeKb7feK/getting-50-sota-on-arc-agi-with-gpt-4o or something else? The former is the first entry on arc AGI pub at https://arcprize.org/leaderboard
https://redwoodresearch.substack.com/p/getting-50-sota-on-arc-agi-with-gpt
ineligible for the prize though