What will happen in 2024? [Movies & Series Edition 🎥 ]

Basic

Ṁ9880

Dec 31

98%

Gladiator Sequel Will Be Better Than Joker: Folie à Deux (IMDB score)

94%

3 Movies with $1Bn+ Worldwide Box Office

84%

'Dune: Prophecy' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after it's premiere.

57%

'Dune: Part 3' gets official release year

50%

It will be revealed that Tomm Moore is directing a new movie

31%

Horizon: An American Saga, Chapter 2 is released in US cinemas

30%

At the end of the year "The War of the Rohirrim" has a <6.0 score on IMDB

19%

Mickey 17 gets delayed again (release later than January 2025)

16%

Disclaimer gets a 80+% on Rotten Tomatoes after the first season

13%

Mufasa: The Lion King Will Be The Highest-Grossing Film in their first 4 weeks after release

10%

Plans for a 'Birth of a Nation' cinematic re-release, remaster, remake, reboot, sequel, or prequel are officially announced

A legal case involving a movie or show is heard by the US Supreme Court

An actor gets killed on a movie set

Resolved

YES

Season 4 of 'Only Murders in the Building' is released (at least one episode)

Resolved

YES

Christopher Nolan announced a new film as director.

Resolved

YES

'Speak No Evil' remake gets better IMBD score than 2022 original (1 month after release)

Resolved

YES

'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after its release.

Resolved

YES

'3 Body Problem' achieves a score of 80%(+) on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after it's release.

Resolved

YES

'Deadpool & Wolverine' grosses $1Bn worldwide

Resolved

YES

Deadpool 3 Will Become Highest-Grossing R-Rated Movie Ever

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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Christopher Nolan announced a new film as director.

opened a Ṁ1 Christopher Nolan an... YES at 83% order

@TheWabiSabi https://deadline.com/2024/10/christopher-nolan-new-movie-matt-damon-release-date-1236099940/

sold Ṁ0 'Speak No Evil' rema... NO

@mattyb resolved

'Speak No Evil' remake gets better IMBD score than 2022 original (1 month after release)

bought Ṁ214 'Speak No Evil' rema... YES

@TheWabiSabi this happened

@mattyb resolved

Season 4 of 'Only Murders in the Building' is released (at least one episode)

bought Ṁ212 Season 4 of 'Only Mu... YES

@TheWabiSabi this happened

@mattyb resolved

bought Ṁ494 Answer #fb992b3a38a6 NO

Season 2 of House of the Dragon ended this Sunday, the question about that should be resolved.

bought Ṁ422 Answer #fb992b3a38a6 NO

Done!

'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after its release.

bought Ṁ369 'Furiosa: A Mad Max ... YES

@TheWabiSabi it's one month after release, resolves YES

Yes, you are quick ;)

@TheWabiSabi really close at the moment 8.1 vs 8.0

bought Ṁ50 Answer #b31c0d579b2c NO

@TheWabiSabi resolves NO. it's may 7th, and the audience score is 40%

@Ziddletwix done!

is this "exactly 1 movie"? or if 2 movies gross >$1B, does that resolve YES as well?

bought Ṁ20 Answer #6386722e9dbb NO

The studio is aiming for $20M opening weekend and opening weekend should be well over 20% of total. Even if this was $100M I would bet no

bought Ṁ20 Answer #6386722e9dbb NO

@CharlieBauer easy bet

Receive mana for added answers

https://manifold.markets/TheWabiSabi/add-answers-to-my-what-will-happen

Mufasa: The Lion King Will Be The Highest-Grossing Film in their first 4 weeks after release

bought Ṁ20 Mufasa: The Lion Kin... NO

Is this worldwide? (And I assume "by the end of its box office run", not "within 2024"?)

@Ziddletwix updated the name

@TheWabiSabi Ok got it re: worldwide, but is this "in 2024" or "released in 2024"? Mufasa releases at the end of 2024, so much of its gross will occur in 2025.

@Ziddletwix could change it to 'in the first month after release'. Maybe that better?

@TheWabiSabi Up to you!

Plans for a 'Birth of a Nation' cinematic re-release, remaster, remake, reboot, sequel, or prequel are officially announced

bought Ṁ10 Plans for a 'Birth o... NO

Some notes:

A documentary about it wouldn't count
The announcement must be unironic and by a studio that has previously successfully produced cinematically released media
It can, and hopefully would, have a message the opposite of the original movie

An actor gets killed on a movie set

sold Ṁ10 An actor gets killed... NO

“Get’s killed” does any cause of death count? I.e. kill’s themselves, old age, Covid, etc? And does it just mean “while making a movie?” Or must the death occur on set

@Ziddletwix on the movie set. So if someone dies from covid on the set, it counts.

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