What will happen in 2024? [Movies & Series Edition 🎥 ]
Mini
30
5.3k
Dec 31
90%
'Inside Out 2' gets a lower IMDB score than 'Inside Out 1' (after one month of release)
85%
Shôgun will be nominated for an Emmy (2025 Edition)
85%
Christopher Nolan announced a new film as director.
81%
'Dune: Part 3' gets official release year
74%
Season 4 of 'Only Murders in the Building' is released (at least one episode)
63%
'Deadpool & Wolverine' grosses $1Bn worldwide
54%
Deadpool 3 Will Become Highest-Grossing R-Rated Movie Ever
50%
It will be revealed that Tomm Moore is directing a new movie
50%
'Dune: Prophecy' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after it's premiere.
50%
'Speak No Evil' remake gets better IMBD score than 2022 original (1 month after release)
41%
Gladiator Sequel Will Be Better Than Joker: Folie à Deux (IMDB score)
33%
3 Movies with $1Bn+ Worldwide Box Office
32%
At the end of the year "The War of the Rohirrim" has a <6.0 score on IMDB
23%
Rhaenyra Targaryen gets killed in S2 of 'House of the Dragon'
20%
A legal case involving a movie or show is heard by the US Supreme Court
19%
Mickey 17 gets delayed again (release later than January 2025)
18%
Mufasa: The Lion King Will Be The Highest-Grossing Film in their first 4 weeks after release
16%
Plans for a 'Birth of a Nation' cinematic re-release, remaster, remake, reboot, sequel, or prequel are officially announced
13%
An actor gets killed on a movie set
Resolved
YES
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after its release.

Feel free to add answers :)

Guidelines

  • I reserve the right to NA any answer for any reason, to combat duplicates or abuse.

  • All resolutions require proof posted as a comment for me to resolve.

  • Make your answer submissions as clear and descriptive as possible. I reserve the right to rephrase answers as needed.

  • Please keep self-referential answers like 'will this market reach X answers' to a minimum, although I might personally add a few

  • Needs to be linked to the entertainment industrie (movies, series, actors etc.)

  • Celebrity should be avoided as a term if possible unless qualified or defined

  • If celebrity or another ambiguous term must be used, and the details aren't sufficient, the Manifold community will be polled to determine the resolution of those questions.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' achieves a score of 80%+ on 'Rotten Tomatoes' one month after its release.
bought Ṁ369 'Furiosa: A Mad Max ... YES

@TheWabiSabi it's one month after release, resolves YES

Yes, you are quick ;)

'Inside Out 2' gets a lower IMDB score than 'Inside Out 1' (after one month of release)

@TheWabiSabi really close at the moment 8.1 vs 8.0

bought Ṁ50 Answer #b31c0d579b2c NO

@TheWabiSabi resolves NO. it's may 7th, and the audience score is 40%

is this "exactly 1 movie"? or if 2 movies gross >$1B, does that resolve YES as well?

bought Ṁ20 Answer #6386722e9dbb NO

The studio is aiming for $20M opening weekend and opening weekend should be well over 20% of total. Even if this was $100M I would bet no

bought Ṁ20 Answer #6386722e9dbb NO

@CharlieBauer easy bet

Mufasa: The Lion King Will Be The Highest-Grossing Film in their first 4 weeks after release
bought Ṁ20 Mufasa: The Lion Kin... NO

Is this worldwide? (And I assume "by the end of its box office run", not "within 2024"?)

@Ziddletwix updated the name

@TheWabiSabi Ok got it re: worldwide, but is this "in 2024" or "released in 2024"? Mufasa releases at the end of 2024, so much of its gross will occur in 2025.

@Ziddletwix could change it to 'in the first month after release'. Maybe that better?

@TheWabiSabi Up to you!

Plans for a 'Birth of a Nation' cinematic re-release, remaster, remake, reboot, sequel, or prequel are officially announced
bought Ṁ10 Plans for a 'Birth o... NO

Some notes:

  • A documentary about it wouldn't count

  • The announcement must be unironic and by a studio that has previously successfully produced cinematically released media

  • It can, and hopefully would, have a message the opposite of the original movie

An actor gets killed on a movie set
sold Ṁ10 An actor gets killed... NO

“Get’s killed” does any cause of death count? I.e. kill’s themselves, old age, Covid, etc? And does it just mean “while making a movie?” Or must the death occur on set

@Ziddletwix on the movie set. So if someone dies from covid on the set, it counts.

More related questions