☃️What will happen in December 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
Plus
28
Ṁ5091Jan 1
99%
Someone other than Joe Biden or Donald Trump receives an electoral vote
98.8%
Eliezer Yudkowsky is alive for the entire month
98.7%
Eliezer Yudkowsky remains unwavering that the probability of AI annihilation is greater than or equal to 95%
75%
Penn State football advances to round of eight
66%
A tesla catches fire as reported by news or tesla-fire.com
63%
web3isgoinggreat makes at least 20 posts this month
50%
american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on lebanon
50%
another indictment against trump
50%
another right wing media persona is revealed to have taken russia money
50%
new charges brought against trump
49%
2 or more inches of snow fall in nyc
45%
american airstrike or drone strike or missle strike on iran
41%
NASDAQ hits an all time high
39%
>= 20% of Manifold respondents believe that weak superintelligence has been achieved in the monthly poll
34%
For the first time, weak AGI is declared to have been achieved by a majority of Manifold respondents in the monthly poll
31%
Ohio State football fails to earn playoff berth
31%
at least 1 inch of snow freshly falls in NYC on christmas day
31%
at least 1 inch of snow on the ground already on christmas day in NYC
28%
Jimmy Carter says something
23%
One or more faithless electors
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Someone other than Joe Biden or Donald Trump receives an electoral vote
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