Will Naim Qassem's successor be killed in 2024?
Plus
7
Ṁ860Dec 31
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves no if Naim Qassem is still the leader of Hezbollah
Resolves no if Naim Qassem dies and no successor is chosen
Resolves yes if Naim Qassem's leadership position is ended, a new person fills that role, and then that individual is killed before 12:01 am 1/1/25 ET
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Naim Qassem (deputy secretary-general of Hezbollah) will killed by Israel in 2024
29% chance
Will Hizbollah’s new leader Naim Qassem survive 2024?
66% chance
Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through December 31, 2024?
94% chance
Will the U.S. assassinate a Houthi leader in 2024?
31% chance
Will Esmail Qaani, commander of Iran's Quds force, be confirmed dead or captured by the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will Zaher Jabarin (the “CEO of Hamas”) survive 2024?
56% chance
Will the supreme leader of Iran (Seyyed Ali Hosseini Khamenei) be killed before the end of 2024
6% chance
Will Sinwar's successor to Hamas leadership be killed by Israel before July 2025?
68% chance
Will Quds Force Commander Esmail Qaani survive 2024?
93% chance
Will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran by the end of 2024?
14% chance