@creator Will a direct interplanetary trajectory (for the EscaPADE launch) also count as orbit?

@dp9000 Ah, that's an interesting wrinkle - I wasn't aware that New Glenn wasn't shooting for orbit with their first mission. The spirit of the question is intended to be "which of these two programs will hit a common and easily comparable performance milestone first" and I think successfully achieving an interplanetary trajectory would be exceeding the requirements of achieving Earth orbit. I'm going to say yes here and change the question to "reach or exceed orbit" to account for this.

Good question!