This market will resolve YES if, during the second term as President (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), Donald Trump makes public statements or communications that positively promote or advocate for the possibility of defaulting on U.S. federal debt obligations, or celebrates an upcoming or recent default event. This includes:

• Public speeches

• Social media posts

• Official statements

• Media interviews

• Campaign materials

This includes touting or celebrating events that are uncontroversially considered to be default events by a reasonable educated observer, even if Trump denies they are default events or calls them differently.

Statements that merely acknowledge the possibility of default or discuss it in neutral/negative terms will not qualify as "touting" or "positively promoting" default.

• Update 2025-02-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Jokes and Ambiguous Statements

  • Statements made in a joking or humorous tone that promote or tout the possibility of default will be treated as qualifying for a YES resolution.

  • When it is unclear whether a statement is a joke or a serious promotion of default, the benefit of the doubt will be given towards interpreting it as a positive promotion of default.