Will a magnitude 7.5 + temblor occur anywhere by 2025?
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from the date of this market being created (Feb 11, 2024) until 2025, if a 7.5 earthquake occurs anywhere on planet earth this will resolve to 'yes'
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Today's earthquake off california coast was 7.3: https://tsunami.gov/?p=PAAQ/2024/12/05/so1aq0/1/WEAK51
@DavidFWatson, and USGS thinks it was 7.0 https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/eventpage/nc75095651/executive
Seems like there might be a disagreement, so it's worth clarifying a resolution criterion beforehand. @Yoae, what source would you use to resolve the question if an event of approx m 7.5 happenes?
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