By the end of 2024, will at least one >100 karma LW post be revealed to have been mostly written by AI?
Plus
18
Ṁ507Jan 1
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Revealed - it was not known prior to the post getting famous, by most readers of the post, that it was written by an AI. They may have suspected so, but it was not told to them.
Only posts put on LW after the start of this market contract will be eligible candidates
(counts even if it was cherry-picked)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://www.lesswrong.com/allPosts?sortedBy=top&timeframe=allTime to get an estimate for how many upvotes are common on LW
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