Will @firstuserhere coauthor a NeurIPS or ICML conference publication before end of 2024? (10,000 Mana subsidy)
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102
Ṁ380k
resolved Oct 1
Resolved
NO

I am incentivized to try and resolve this as YES. I will be betting in this market as well. I've left a 30,000 Mana limit order at 30% as a baseline.

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Resolving No based on the comment thread from @AlexbGoode and @Ziddletwix

boughtṀ50,000NO

@Joshua is this really the best use of the mod message?

@mods This can resolve no. I asked fuh on discord and his paper didn't get in.

@AlexbGoode it looks like he was a coauthor on a poster. that doesn't count as a 'publication' imo but i'll wait a day to see if anyone disagrees

sold Ṁ6,841 NO

@jacksonpolack can you be more specific? Most NeurIPS papers are called "poster," as opposed to "spotlight" or "oral" acceptances.

it says 2024 https://icml.cc/virtual/2024/36410

anyway I'm not gonna resolve it because i have a position from a year ago

@jacksonpolack cs is not my area so i might not be remembering the terminology exactly right, but the important distinction here afaik isn't that it's a "poster" (that's a typical way to present a paper at the conference and would count as a "publication"), but that it was only accepted for a "workshop", which is less prestigious than the main conference (where it doesn't appear). helpfully, fuh clarified that this wouldn't count.

@Ziddletwix ok, well i still can't resolve it because i have a big position so someone else needs to

Is anyone interested to take my position here? Let me know if you put up a limit order and I'll sell into it paying the fees.

fuh is banned. Is his real name known so this market can still be resolved?

@AlexbGoode I can verify it.

@AlexbGoode Lots of people know his real name.

@nikki That's good news. any chance you also know how the rebuttal for ICML went?

@AlexbGoode What happened?

@Paul Alt-accounts used for bonus farming (again)

ICML reviews are due tomorrow!

@firstuserhere Care to share your scores? It would inform chances for a possible NeurIPS re-submission in June.

sold Ṁ852 NO

@firstuserhere are you able to provide a personal assessment of how this is going?

Did you submit to icml?

predictedYES

is this also supposed to be unranked? This one has external source verification

bought Ṁ100 NO from 47% to 46%
MiraboughtṀ3,203YES

@Mira Any new information or just the normal end-of-season market manipulations?

predictedYES

@AlexbGoode I'm curious as well

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