Will Tesla sell/lease/rent/commercialize in any way humanoid robots to outside individuals or companies by the end of 2024?
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12
Ṁ1559
Jan 1
3%
chance

Other markets seem to focus on whether Tesla Bots will be available to the general public or the US market so that any individual with enough money could buy it.

This is broader and relates to any kind of arrangement where Tesla will get paid in any way for Tesla Bots. So selling/leasing/renting/etc Tesla Bot units, charging for services performed by Tesla Bots, etc. all resolve positively, including if this is just a private deal with another company (e.g. selling robots to a factory) and bots are not available to the general public. Including Musk-owned companies (e.g. Tesla Bots working at SpaceX.) Regardless of how many bots are involved or how much money is made.

If it is made public or confirmed by parties involved that Tesla received non-zero money in exchange for a Tesla Bot or for service performed by a Tesla Bot, this resolves positively. Even if Tesla is paid by Twitter for a bot to stand motionless somewhere.

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Even if Tesla is paid by Twitter for a bot to stand motionless somewhere.

You don't have to make it this broad! You're not a smart contract, you're allowed to exercise basic levels of human judgement about whether it's a real if minor non-gimmick robotics task!

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