How much of the popular vote will Trump get [resolves to %]?
Plus
4
Ṁ177Nov 10
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
How much of the national popular vote will Donald Trump receive in the 2024 presidential election? This is defined as the number of Trump votes divided by the total number of votes. This market will resolve to the nearest integer % to this value.
Resolves a couple days after CNN's final numbers come out.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
nvm
@Nightsquared I'm really not sure. If you could suggest another accurate source that is timely, that would be helpful. I'm definitely not planning to wait until 2026. That would be kinda sad.
@bagelfan News sources like NYT have vote trackers that keep track of popular vote tallies, and states have to certify results by sometime in December (Dec 11 I think) so the tally should be final by then
Related questions
Related questions
What will Trump’s national popular vote be? (choices in millions)
What will Biden's share of the popular vote be in the 2024 election?
What percentage of the popular vote in the Washington, D.C. general presidential election will Donald Trump receive?
How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
How large will the popular vote margin be in the 2024 presidential election?
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]
How much of the popular vote will Harris get [resolves to %]?
48% chance
What will Trump's vote share be in the 2024 election?
What will the popular vote margin be in 2024?
Will Donald Trump win a majority of the vote (>50%) in these states?