Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025? | Manifold

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2025?

Standard

51

Ṁ3550

Jan 1

11%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

English Wikipedia, mainspace. If the human can review the edit and choose to stop it before it's published, then it doesn't count.

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

This is still too optimistic imo

bought Ṁ750 NO from 21% to 13%

Does it have to be officially sanctioned, or would someone doing it without permission count (assuming they don’t get caught and banned)?

@MitchLindgren https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-ai-be-successfully-editing-wik it would count.

Related questions

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

Will AI extend English before 2031?

Will an AI be able to create a website via text prompt by end of 2024?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2050?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will AI fully automate Cochrane-style systematic reviews by end of 2026?

Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors increase by 2030?

Related questions

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2026?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2030?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2040?

Will AI be successfully editing Wikipedia unassisted, adding substantive original cited prose, before 2050?

Will an AI produce encyclopedia-worthy philosophy by 2026?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Will AI extend English before 2031?

Will AI fully automate Cochrane-style systematic reviews by end of 2026?

Will an AI be able to create a website via text prompt by end of 2024?

Will the number of active English Wikipedia editors increase by 2030?

Terms & Conditions•Privacy Policy•Sweepstakes Rules