Will Caroline Ellison be imprisoned at all? | Manifold

Will Caroline Ellison be imprisoned at all?

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39

Ṁ42k

Dec 31

98.6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Pretrial detention DOES count. Closing date may be extended as needed. House arrest also counts.

#FTX Insolvency Crisis

#Caroline Ellison

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bought Ṁ2,000 YES

Please resolve to YES

@WallStreetCorgi Source?

I think her sentence is scheduled to start in early November, might still change.

@10thOfficial okay we'll wait until then

(My bet is an arb, and does not reflect my belief.)

https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-caroline-ellison-be-sentenced?r=QmVuamFtaW5Ja3V0YQ

Will Caroline Ellison be sentenced to any prison time?

66% chance. Pretrial detention does not count. Closing date may be extended as needed.

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