
Would the independent party US president nominees (combine if there is more than 1) gets more than 20% of popular vote?
6
170Ṁ180Jan 1
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
35% chance
Will a third-party or independent candidate win any state in the 2024 or 2028 US presidential elections?
8% chance
Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?
22% chance