Will there be a deadly assault on a Belgian politician in 2024?
Basic
10
Ṁ568Jan 1
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
“Politician” is defined as any Belgian citizen that was, is or will be on an electable position in the 2019- or 2024-elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@ArmandodiMatteo It should be "deadly" to (at least) the target for it to resolve to YES.
bought Ṁ50 NO from 29% to 22%
Related questions
Related questions
Will the current Prime Minister of Belgium be replaced before the end of 2024?
82% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2024?
33% chance
Will there be an ISIS terrorist attack in France in 2024?
14% chance
Will Jean-Marie Le Pen die in 2024?
25% chance
Will any head of state or head of government of a UN member country be assassinated in 2024?
17% chance
Will Europe see a rise in terrorist attacks in 2024?
36% chance
Will Matt Welch's prediction of deadly political violence in the US in 2024 hold up?
29% chance
Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will Mr. Bart De Wever be a member of any Belgian federal government or Flemish government before the end of 2024?
52% chance
Will any world leaders be assassinated by the end of 2024?
6% chance