Will there be an ISIS terrorist attack in France in 2024?
Plus
45
Ṁ8201Dec 31
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
France has recently raised its terror alert to the highest level following an attack at a Moscow concert hall, which resulted in at least 137 fatalities. The attack has been claimed by ISIS, and graphic footage has been released. French Prime Minister Gabriel Attal cited the Islamic State’s claim of responsibility and the threats facing the country as reasons for elevating the Vigipirate posture to its highest level: attack emergency. Additionally, two attempted terror attacks on French soil have been foiled since January, and 45 in total since 2017.
Resolves YES if there is a confirmed terrorist attack by ISIS on French soil in 2024, resulting in at least three deaths.
Resolves NO by 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an ISIS terrorist attack in France in 2025?
36% chance
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
7% chance
Will there be a deadly assault on a Belgian politician in 2024?
12% chance
Will France become more authoritarian in 2024?
64% chance
Will Europe see a rise in terrorist attacks in 2024?
8% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change in 2024?
6% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will 2024 see "horrific scenes of explosions in the US, France, Canada, and the UK"?
17% chance
Will France 🇫🇷 officially send troops to Odessa in 2024?
6% chance
Will France send troops to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
2% chance