How many Falcon 9-family rockets will SpaceX have launched at the time of their retirement?
Basic
10
Ṁ3622050
709
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market closes at the time the last rocket from the Falcon 9-family has launched, per the criteria at https://manifold.markets/ianminds/when-will-the-last-spacex-falcon-9. I.e. if a Falcon rocket comes out of retirement to stop an asteroid or something, this market will not be reopened ;-)
Falcon Heavy and any other as of yet undeveloped future derivatives will count for this market.
Initial value set at 300 per this ancient tweet: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/995462943079723008.
Related markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?
How often will Starship have launched by the time of Falcon 9's retirement?
321
Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?
59% chance
🚀 How Many SPACEX Launches Will Occur During November 2024?
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Heavy in 2025?
🚀 Will SpaceX Achieve 135 Successful Launches In 2024?
54% chance
When will the last SpaceX Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy launch be?
2033
Will there be an Atlas V launch failure before retirement?
29% chance
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?
62% chance