Discourse 2024: The U.S. and Iran in a direct shooting war?
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4
Ṁ79Jan 14
17%
chance
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This market is based on predictions What's Coming in 2024 by the Discourse Magazine editorial team
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If the resolution is not obvious, the editorial team and author of the prediction will be asked to resolve in his most honest judgement.
If there is no answer from the Discourse by January 30 2025, @itsTomekK + community judgement will be used.
You are welcome to help shape precise resolution criteria in comments 🙏
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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"Predictions" without probabilities attached to them are sooooooo boring.
Edit: also it's not on you (or us) to make precise predictions, it's on predictors.
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