Will Michael Gove lose his seat at the next general election? | Manifold

Will Michael Gove lose his seat at the next general election?

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resolved Jul 5

Resolved

N/A

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1W

1M

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Resolves to YES if at the next UK general election, Michael Gove fails to be elected to the House of Commons (regardless of which constituency he stands in; he is currently the MP for Surrey Heath). It doesn't matter whether or not he stands as a Conservative. This market resolves to N/A if he is not a candidate in the next general election.

Inspired by this tweet by Sam Freedman: https://twitter.com/Samfr/status/1655165111550476288

Get Ṁ600 play money

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@mods Resolves N/A

bought Ṁ700 YES

https://x.com/michaelgove/status/1794066234406768881

@RemNi ah are you going to resolve this as N/A?

@RemNi Yes (as it says in the description).

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In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?

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Who will be the next Conservative Party Leader?

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In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?

Will John Redwood lose his seat at the next general election?

Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Michael Gove?

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Which Conservative MP will lose their seat next?