Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 40 seats at the next UK general election?
Basic
31
Ṁ6.5kresolved Jul 5
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if the Liberal Democrats win 40 or more seats in the House of Commons at the next UK general election. Candidates suspended from the party still count as long as they appear as "Liberal Democrats" on the ballot paper (like Neale Hanvey in 2019).
At the last general election in 2019, the Liberal Democrats won just 11 seats, despite coming third in terms of vote share with 11.6% of the vote. However, strong performances in local elections and by-elections has led to speculation that the party will make big gains at the next general election.
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ687 | |
| 2 | Ṁ245 | |
| 3 | Ṁ146 | |
| 4 | Ṁ136 | |
| 5 | Ṁ83 |
Related questions
In the next UK General Election [Likely 2029] which parties will gain seats?
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
17% chance
Will the Conservatives win at least 40% of the vote in Canada's next federal election?
69% chance
Will the Labour Party win 400 or more seats in the next UK general election?
99% chance
Will the party endorsed by the Sun newspaper win the next UK general election?
55% chance
Will any party win more than 50% of the votes at the next UK general election?
1% chance
Will Labour win a Majority in the next election?
99% chance