Will a Sequences-style book on FDT be written by 2026?
Basic
5
Ṁ622026
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Distilling Planecrash/other sources into a book-length non-fiction text about functional decision theory.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025?
69% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
35% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2026?
35% chance
Will my novel be published (or be on track to be) by mid-2026?
28% chance
Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
27% chance
Sam Altman publishes a book by mid 2028
68% chance
Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2027?
60% chance
Will an "AI Safety Textbook" be available before the end of 2024?
46% chance
Will it be possible to generate a 1h+ movie from a book in 2025?
29% chance