Will Mariah’s All I Want for Christmas Is You Reach #1 on Billboard in November 2024?
19
𝕊550
Dec 1
3%
chance
The creator of this market has given incorrect context, which could've come from a misinterpretation of the information presented in the chart. The dates listed in the chart are debut dates, and the numbers on the right are peak chart positions, not the position the song was at during the debut date. When you visit the billboard archives cited by Wikipedia, they show the actual date at which the song reached the peak chart position listed, and so far this has only occurred in December and January. The statement "Since 2019, Mariah Carey’s All I Want For Christmas Is You has reached #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in the month of November every year" is false. The song has never reached #1 in November before.

Billboard’s Hot 100 edition are weekly leaderboards with a Saturday date, and there are 2 Saturday’s at the end of this month: the 23rd and the 30th.

Since 2019, Mariah Carey’s All I Want For Christmas Is You has reached #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in the month of November every year (seen below and here). Will she do it again this year?

Can Mariah Carey get her 6th consecutive #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before December?

Resolves NO on December 1st.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The sweepstakes market for this question will be resolved per the title which states whether or not she will reach #1 in November.

The inaccurate context accidentally provided by the creator in the description is not relevant to the criteria. That said, while people are expected to do their own research before participating, we recognised some people were misled and will look to compensate sweepstakes yes holders who entered the market prior to clarification. To prevent this from reoccurring in the future we will probably ask creators to include any context as a pinned comment rather than as part of the description where it can be confused with the criteria.

🎶 All I Want For Christmas Is ~My Mana Back~ You 🎶

@mods update please

sold Ṁ1 YES

cc @mods Na market?

@strutheo SirSalty has to decide exactly what to do in this case.

damn this sucks

Please refund due to misinformation in the description. @Manifold @SirSalty

What a swindle

The creator of this market has given incorrect context, which could've come from a misinterpretation of the information presented in the chart. The dates listed in the chart are debut dates, and the numbers on the right are peak chart positions, not the position the song was at during the debut date. When you visit the billboard archives cited by Wikipedia, they show the actual date at which the song reached the peak chart position listed, and so far this has only occurred in December and January. The statement "Since 2019, Mariah Carey’s All I Want For Christmas Is You has reached #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in the month of November every year" is false. The song has never reached #1 in November before.

sold Ṁ336 YES

@JoviTseng dangit

@JoviTseng fuck, he’s right. sorry for misleading y’all

Not cool.

@10thOfficial i can n/a it, but im the #2 YES holder so i figure that will make me look even worse that i already do. i’m sorry

@mattyb I'm at fault too so I'm not quite sure how I feel right now. I'm going to have a think about it.

Sweeped!

@SirSalty given recent revelations about this market, how will the sweeps version respond?

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