If Trump wins, will he "free" January 6th prisoners in his first month?
Standard
50
Ṁ25582025
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump has promised to "free" / pardon January 6th prisoners as one of the first acts of his possible presidency: https://www.axios.com/2024/03/12/trump-free-jan-6-rioters-election-vow.
If Trump wins the 2024 election and is sworn in, and in his first month in power, issues a pardon or clemency that results in any January 6th prisoner serving a sentence directly related to January 6th to be released from prison, this market will resolve YES.
If Trump is sworn in but doesn't take the actions listed above, this market resolves NO. If Trump is not sworn in, this market resolves N/A and every trader gets their mana back.
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