[Metaculus] Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election?
15
9.8k
resolved Jul 7
Resolved
YES

Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes in the event that in the 2024 UK general election held on July 4, 2024, Nigel Farage is elected as the member of parliament (MP) for any UK constituency. The question will resolve as No if this does not occur, unless the general election is cancelled or postponed beyond July 4 2024, in which case the question will be annulled.

Resolution should cite credible media reports from the BBC, the Times, the Financial Times, the Guardian, or other major UK news sources; or the official announcement of the returning officer for any constituency in which Nigel Farage is a candidate.

Farage need not be sworn in as an MP for the question to resolve as Yes -- this question resolves on the basis of his election or non-election.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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@jskf @mods Resolves YES.

("Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.")